Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.727248 0.854680 0.992591 1.152301 1.331505 1.525728 1.751475
2025-08-10 0.499234 0.669609 0.872690 1.129433 1.441996 1.806741 2.260898
2025-08-17 0.344567 0.525669 0.762191 1.085835 1.508586 2.033125 2.723287
2025-08-24 0.257518 0.442553 0.704903 1.089210 1.621379 2.314999 3.267765
2025-08-31 0.193781 0.374113 0.650567 1.081583 1.710083 2.564725 3.781968
2025-09-07 0.158317 0.339087 0.635685 1.122970 1.864140 2.906649 4.434171
2025-09-14 0.128733 0.305617 0.615547 1.150370 1.995863 3.221740 5.063488
2025-09-21 0.098455 0.262012 0.569685 1.128660 2.047930 3.421992 5.538154
2025-09-28 0.081295 0.239350 0.555443 1.155005 2.173416 3.733431 6.183710
2025-10-05 0.067179 0.218912 0.541114 1.177917 2.292794 4.039594 6.832894
2025-10-12 0.055372 0.200035 0.526037 1.196454 2.404325 4.337235 7.479874
2025-10-19 0.044113 0.178499 0.501238 1.193031 2.476564 4.574879 8.043574
2025-10-26 0.032809 0.152535 0.462607 1.159781 2.496945 4.735548 8.504513
2025-11-02 0.025731 0.136210 0.442539 1.160819 2.578400 5.000037 9.140362
2025-11-09 0.018636 0.115747 0.407709 1.126223 2.590786 5.149606 9.599362
2025-11-16 0.014657 0.104563 0.393754 1.133930 2.681924 5.434757 10.285588
2025-11-23 0.011113 0.092664 0.374903 1.127840 2.745085 5.673710 10.904171
2025-11-30 0.009454 0.088627 0.377576 1.171380 2.908450 6.093753 11.835395
2025-12-07 0.007752 0.083021 0.374243 1.200034 3.043297 6.468389 12.702393
2025-12-14 0.005554 0.072109 0.351325 1.177729 3.071749 6.653164 13.254982
2025-12-21 0.004502 0.067621 0.348405 1.205026 3.204786 7.032010 14.148628
2025-12-28 0.003600 0.063137 0.344346 1.228737 3.331329 7.403321 15.039794
2026-01-04 0.002827 0.058602 0.338877 1.247909 3.448920 7.761994 15.918916